AP Report: Obamacare Will Increase Costs

Well at least they aren't calling it an unintended consequence:

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Obama's health care overhaul law will increase the nation's health care tab instead of bringing costs down, government economic forecasters concluded Thursday in a sobering assessment of the sweeping legislation.A report by economic experts at the Health and Human Services Department said the health care remake will achieve Obama's aim of expanding health insurance — adding 34 million Americans to the coverage rolls.

But the analysis also found that the law falls short of the president's twin goal of controlling runaway costs. It also warned that Medicare cuts may be unrealistic and unsustainable, driving about 15% of hospitals into the red and "possibly jeopardizing access" to care for seniors.The mixed verdict for Obama's signature issue is the first comprehensive look by neutral experts.

In particular, the warnings about Medicare could become a major political liability for Democratic lawmakers in the midterm elections. Seniors are more likely to vote than younger people and polls show they are already deeply skeptical of the law.

The report from Medicare's Office of the Actuary carried a disclaimer saying it does not represent the official position of the Obama administration. White House officials have repeatedly complained that such analyses have been too pessimistic and lowball the law's potential to achieve savings.The report acknowledged that some of the cost-control measures in the bill — Medicare cuts, a tax on high-cost insurance and a commission to seek ongoing Medicare savings — could help reduce the rate of cost increases beyond 2020. But it held out little hope for progress in the first decade.

"During 2010-2019, however, these effects would be outweighed by the increased costs associated with the expansions of health insurance coverage," wrote Richard S. Foster, Medicare's chief actuary. "Also, the longer-term viability of the Medicare ... reductions is doubtful." Foster's office is responsible for long-range costs estimates.

For starters the basis for the lefts cost control, arguments comes int several forms, they include:

• Paying less for services will force the system to lower prices and do away with "Obscene" profits. (This is why the public option is always held up as a cost saving measure.)
  
• A more structured and rational approach will lead to lower costs as redundancy is removed from the system.
• Corruption and waste will be rooted out.
• Preventive medicine will reduce future costs.

In regards to paying less, the left assume we can squeeze water from a stone and somehow starving the health providers of money will somehow not result in lack of services, doctor and nurse shortages and hospitals closing their doors. There might be some merit in ironing out differences in costs and expenses which fluctuate wildly across the country for the same procedures, but hardly at the level that would save the requisite money. Corruption and waste? Every politician spouts that nonsense and it would be a safe guess that the increase in government control and spending will lead to an increase is waste and theft. Preventive medicine may also have merit on an individual level, but it has been shown to be ineffective as a cost control measure. So on top of our already rising budget how are we gonna pay for all of this, well Obama might just have an idea!