Eighty-one percent (81%) of Republicans and 65% of voters not affiliated with either major party favor repeal; 56% of Democrats oppose it. Part of the doubt about the likelihood of repeal may come from the fact that Democrats could still control Congress after November. Part of it also may come from skepticism that Republicans would be any different. Recent polling showed that just 42% think there would be a noticeable change if Republicans win control of Congress. Republican voters overwhelmingly believe that their party’s representatives in Washington are out of touch with the party base. Just 21% believe that Republican officeholders have done a good job representing Republican values.
Between 65% of independents favor repeal and the tepid support of Democrats its clear Obamacare is big millstone around the Dems this year. If the GOP makes the gains it should, expect the run up till 2012 all about repeal with the presidential elections defined by that GOP winning topic. As for GOP members skeptical of their own party they have a point. But in reality many of the new members of the GOP are far more conservative and reflective of the grassroots rather then the beltway. Could some of the change as soon as they are ensconced in power, of course, but lets win first and worry about that later.
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